When Congress reconvenes following its August recess, it will resume work on climate change legislation. Just before the recess, the House was considering legislation by Congressmen Henry Waxman (D-Calif) and Ed Markey (D-Mass) which includes language to establish a cap and trade system. Under that approach emissions would be capped at certain levels and those exceeding those levels would have to purchase (trade) emission credits from those with a surplus.
The National Association of Manufacturers(NAM) and the American Council for Capital Formation (ACCF) updated its analysis of the impacts of the legislation on our economy, families and jobs. NAM and ACCF found under a high-cost scenario the House global warming bill could reduce economic growth by 2.4 percent and cost 2 million jobs by 2030. One "key finding is that the climate bill will hurt the manufacturing sector particularly hard. As much as 66 percent of the total job loss from the climate bill could come from manufacturers.
The Waxman-Market legislation requires that 2005 carbon dioxide limits be reduced by 17% reduction by 2020 and 83% by 2050. The price of carbon permits (what companies must pay to emit greenhouse gases could be between $48 and $61 per metric ton by 2020 and could increase to $123 and $159 by 2030.
As for Washington State, NAM-ACCF estimates the impacts by 2030 include:
1. loss of 41,456 - 56,459 jobs
2. decrease in disposable income of $696 – 1,213
3. in gasoline prices of 21 – 27%
4. electricity price increase of 19%
5. natural gas up 77%
6. a decrease in Washington’s GSP by $11.8 billion
This will have lasting impact on Washington families, businesses, hospitals, schools and the economy. The state budget will not escape either because so goes the economy, so goes state and local governments.
For a copy of the Washington Analysis, contact Don Brunell (DonB@awb.org).
Don C. Brunell, President