The Washington Poll, a survey sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity and Race, tested voter opinion on the major statewide ballot issues and the roads-and-transit measure in the metro Puget Sound region. (I don't know why the group does these surveys, which look a little outside the mission statement, but data's always nice.)
While there's a lot of uncertainty out there, it looks good for backers of the rainy day fund (Constitutional Amendment 8206) and the simple majority to approve school levies (Constitutional Amendment 4204).
The Reject R-67 campaign is trailing, but there still a lot of undecided voters.
I-960 also looks too close to call. As does the Proposition 1 roads-and-transit measure.
Here's the breakdown among likely voters (margin of error +/- 4.8%)
I-960: 42% yes, 41% no, 17% undecided.
R-67: 64% yes, 31% no, 24% undecided.
8206 (rainy day): 62% yes, 16% no, 22% undecided.
4204 (simple majority): 58% yes, 31% no, 10% undecided.
Prop 1: 49% yes, 38% no, 13% yes.
The link to the poll takes you to several PowerPoint slides, slicing the numbers several ways. It'll take you to a recent look at approval ratings for the governor, legislature, president, and congress.
Peter Callaghan looks at the numbers in The News Tribune's Political Buzz blog. He may be right on the poll's most important finding:
The new Washington Poll was released last night and shows that most of the statewide ballot measures – as well as Puget Sound's Prop. 1 – are in the hands of voters who haven't made up their minds.
So if you haven't mailed in your ballot yet, expect to become very popular with the campaigns.
And Joel Connelly considers the poll in the PI's Strange Bedfellows blog.
MORE Rich Roesler writes about the poll here.
